What Needs To Happen (Playoff Scenario Week 16/17)

Miami also hurts us in the case we get into a 3 team tie with them and the Broncos I believe. Even if the Ravens lose out.

 

Yeah but KC will still be better....

 

All we need is: Obviously Titans have to win 2, then Baltimore or Denver to lose 2 with Miami beating Pit in Miami Wk17, simple.

Oh, and the Jets will lose at Colts or against Bengals, or both, please. They are going to fold like a tent.

 

Houston vs. Miami is a non factor. We have the tie breaker vs both and they need to win out to tie us. We need to win out. If we lose we are toast.

 

Two Clubs
Head-to-head, if applicable.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in conference games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss.
Three or More Clubs
(Note: If two clubs remain tied after third or other clubs are eliminated, tie breaker reverts to step 1 of applicable two-club format.)

Apply division tie breaker to eliminate all but the highest ranked club in each division prior to proceeding to step 2. The original seeding within a division upon application of the division tie breaker remains the same for all subsequent applications of the procedure that are necessary to identify the two Wild-Card participants.
Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)
Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference.
Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games, minimum of four.
Strength of victory.
Strength of schedule.
Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed.
Best net points in conference games.
Best net points in all games.
Best net touchdowns in all games.
Coin toss

 

I think our best shot is the Ravens losing out. The Raiders have beaten some good teams this year. I wonder if Charlie Frye is out. He played pretty good.

I highly doubt that KC can beat Denver but who knows. Once they lose to Philly then maybe they will get a bad case of tight spincteritis and KC will show up.

Thanks for the excellent analysis....

 

Well first things first, we need to beat SD and Seattle just to stay alive. Then Denver needs to bottom out and lose out if we want to make it. I feel this has to happen for us to make it in.

Jax, NYJ and Pittsburgh will lose at least 1 more for 8 losses. Broncos have to lose out for us to make it. I would like to see Baltimore lose out but they're playing too good right now for that to happen. We needed Chicago to help and they didn't.

 

we would break the 3 way tie with the only H2H with Miami, and then it would be baltimore and Miami for the last seed...

 

Unfortunately no.

3 way Wild card tiebreaker

Head-to-head sweep. (Applicable only if one club has defeated each of the others or if one club has lost to each of the others.)

That means the win over Miami becomes moot. And we have to skip to the next tiebreak which is conference record. That eliminates us and leaves Miami/Baltimore. Miami would win the 5th seed because of strength of victory.

Not sure if the process is repeated for the 6th seed between us and the Ravens or if we were eliminated during the first phase. Either way we wouldn't make it.

Like I said the best scenario-

Houston beats Miami and the Jets lose one of two. Then we can cheer for the Fins in the last game if the Steelers beat the Ravens this week.