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Jake Locker led the NFL last season......................

Discussion in 'Tennessee Titans and NFL Talk' started by Kaeotik, Sep 6, 2013.

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  1. Kaeotik Pro Bowler

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    Bad Decision Rate (BDR) is a metric from KC Joyner, the Football Scientist, that was recently featured prominently in ESPN The Magazine’s NFL preview issue.

    Tennessee Titans quarterback Jake Locker had the lowest bad decision rate in the league in 2012 -- 0.6 percent.
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    Locker
    BDR is the rate at which a quarterback makes a mental error that leads to a turnover opportunity for the D.

    There is certainly some subjectivity in judging a mental error.

    “But there are objective elements in place to reduce the subjectivity,” Joyner said. “Examples of mental errors include not seeing defenders in the passing lane, and throwing the ball while being tackled.”

    How significant was Locker’s number last year?

    “It's significant in that it is quite rare to see a quarterback post a BDR of less than one percent,” Joyner said. “Tom Brady is the only passer to reach that level on a consistent basis, so it would be quite surprising to see Locker stay at that level but even if he triples his BDR, it would still be below the 2 percent mark that serves as the bar for superior play in this metric.”

    So what does Joyner project for Locker this year?

    “I have him projected as posting a 0.8 percent BDR this year,” Joyner said. “That is based on his 2012 performance as well as his 2013 schedule, which is the most favorable in the league based on a defensive BDR perspective.”

    http://espn.go.com/blog/tennessee-titans/post/_/id/377/jake-locker-and-bad-decision-rate
  2. 520 Starter

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    and im 10000 percent sure ive seen many a posters knock locker for bad decision making

    suck it haters......yet again
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  3. RockyTop Fox Defensive Coordinator

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  4. Kaeotik Pro Bowler

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    What is this?
  5. Kaeotik Pro Bowler

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    Oh I remember. The pick 6 right. Apparently we should be real happy with how often he makes bad decisions though.
  6. Deuce Wayne Damnit, I cant find my driving moccasins anywhere!

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    I think, from what I've seen of Jake Locker... and what I'm seeing here, we can conclude that this BDR study is inaccurate and a terrible indicator of bad decision making.

    His inability to read a blitz isn't considered bad decision making, I guess.
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  7. RockyTop Fox Defensive Coordinator

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    A horrible pick-six that Locker threw on our own goal-line while leading by 6. I'm not saying Locker has been a bad decision maker, but he's made his fair share of bad decisions.
  8. Kaeotik Pro Bowler

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    The fact that Tom Brady is the only guy to consistently stay under 1% suggests something else entirely though. I mean, I guess we all know Tyler Palko should be #1, but Tom Brady is pretty good.
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  9. Deuce Wayne Damnit, I cant find my driving moccasins anywhere!

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    Tyler Palko can't be judged by any rating system of this planet, though.
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  10. Finnegan2win hopesfall2win

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    Didn't he lose some fumbles scrambling too?

    That = bad decision.

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