Position Primer 2013 - Quarterback

Discussion in 'Tennessee Titans and NFL Talk' started by Carpy, Jan 2, 2013.

  1. Carpy

    Carpy Disgruntled foreign veteran

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    After going through all the salary cap data over the last couple of days, I figured I’d post a series of position previews as we head into the off-season because we have some interesting decisions to make across the board given the current pay structure for our team.

    My numbers reflect my understanding as at 2 Jan 2013, which has 48 players under contract for 2013 at a total cap hit of $106.9m. I have no doubt this isn’t 100% correct, but it should be close enough for some rudimentary evaluation.

    Quarterback
    2013 Cap hit for all QB’s – $11.536m (10.7% of team spend)

    Players under contract:
    Jake Locker (6’3”, 241) – 24 years old
    2013 Cap Number - $3.432m ($1.519m salary + $1.913m SB pro-rata)
    2014 Cap Number – $3.994m ($2.091m salary + $1.913m SB pro-rata)
    2015 Cap Number – UFA
    Matt Hasselbeck (6’4”, 225) – 37 years old
    2013 Cap Number - $7.5m ($5.5m salary + $2m SB pro-rata)
    2014 Cap Number – UFA
    Rusty Smith (6’5”, 226) – 25 years old
    2013 Cap Number – $0.604m ($0.575m salary + $0.029m pro-rata)
    2014 Cap Number – UFA

    3 burning questions

    1. Is Jake the Answer?
    This one really trumps every other question at every other position. They have no option but to ride this horse and after just 11 starts in two seasons, it is way too early to say either way.

    2. Can the team afford to keep Hasselbeck?
    $5.5m base salary in 2013 is one of the highest on the team. Depending on how much of a splash we are looking to make in free agency, I am sure the team is looking at the potential to re-invest those $$ elsewhere
    3.
    3. Can the team afford to let Hasselbeck go?
    This question is as much about Rusty as it is about Matt. Hasselbeck is 37 years old and certainly has lost some arm strength, but if Jake does progress and we are in the midst of a winning season, we would certainly need a back-up that can help the team win a game or two if Jake gets dinged up.

    Free Agency:
    Depends on what we do with Matt, but I don’t see us being a player early in Free Agency. Some potential cheaper backup QB options:
    Matt Moore
    Brady Quinn
    Derek Anderson
    Drew Stanton
    Chase Daniel
    Matt Leinart

    Potential Cap Casulaties
    Michael Vick
    Matt Cassel
    Carson Palmer
    Matt Flynn
    Kevin Kolb

    Potential Draft Targets:
    Certainly not an early round priority, but selecting a developmental QB late is not out of the question. Some late round options:

    Matt Scott, Arizona
    Jeff Tuel, Washington State
    Sean Renfree, Duke

    Summary
    It is clear that our hopes at this position hinge almost entirely on Jake’s growth. The interesting twist from a contract perspective is that as a rookie Jake only signed a 4 year deal as he was under the new CBA, whereas previous high round QBs typically signed a 6-year deal (like Ryan, Stafford, Bradford, Flacco etc). This means that from a contractual stand-point we will have a major decision to make with Jake in 12 months time. He needs to either be extended next year, or we have to be prepared to move on. We can’t go into the last year of his contract without a long term deal in place if he is truly our franchise QB.

    My take
    The only real decision the Titans have is what to do with Hasselbeck, given his salary for a back-up QB. Early days of Free Agency will be the key here. If the team is aggressive in pursuing high caliber free agents, then Matt could be a cap casualty. I think it is unlikely. I expect the 3 QBs to remain on the roster for 2013 and Rusty given the opportunity to take more reps in pre-season to see if he is a viable number 2.

    UPDATE TWO WEEKS OUT FROM DRAFT

    Replacing Hasselbeck with a younger and cheaper version in Fitzpatrick was a great move to bolster this position. Fitz is on a 2-year contract and with Rusty still on the roster, I don't expect us to touch QB in the draft this year.

    The guys listed above are still candidates for 7th rd/UFA and a strong-armed QB like Renfree (who is coming off injury) would be a good prospect to evaluate at camp.
    #1
  2. JCBRAVE

    JCBRAVE Tweet me @JCBRAVE

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    Not that it affects the cap, but Jake isnt 6'3" or 242lbs. Where did your info come from?
    #2
  3. The Playmaker

    The Playmaker pineapple pizza party

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    Cut Hasselbeck, sign Chase Daniel, and let him fight it out with Rusty for the back up spot.

    If we have to use Hass next year our season isn't going as planned anyway. If we're missing out on a top SS or OG because we can't afford it well it's because of our back up QB. Hass has regressed big time and I rather let a young guy like Daniel have a shot (doesn't hurt he's been behind Brees these past couple years).
    #3
  4. Carpy

    Carpy Disgruntled foreign veteran

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    #4
  5. Ensconatus

    Ensconatus Losing faith...

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    He was however listed as 6'3 for a good moment. He's like 6'1 tho lol. Hass is suppose to be 6'4 and he towers over locker.
    #5
  6. Carpy

    Carpy Disgruntled foreign veteran

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    Jake was measured at the combine in 2011 at 6'3" and 231lb.
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  7. Ensconatus

    Ensconatus Losing faith...

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    Yea... And hasselbeck is 6'6 I guess.
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  8. TitanJeff

    TitanJeff Kahuna Grande Staff

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    I think #3 is the only factor this offseason as far as roster moves at QB. The team needs to make the decision as to whether or not Rusty is #2 material. If he is, it's time to let Hasselbeck go and get in a young QB to develop.

    But I don't think money will have a lot to do with the decision. If Hass is good for Locker's development, and is adequate as a #2, then they could drop Rusty and go with a young #3 as well.

    Some of this might be impacted by what the team needs from a QB. Hass might be able to hit the short timing stuff but, if the offense is going to be designed to stretch the field, then he isn't a good fit.

    And there might be a few QBs added to the free agent market over the next few weeks depending on how the new coaching changes go.
    #8
  9. Ensconatus

    Ensconatus Losing faith...

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    Pressure ----Drop-backs Runs Att. Com. ------------Com. % Yds Yds / Att. TD INT Sk NFL QB RatingPff.comRating
    No pressure -----------------------------263 19 243 152 62.6 1880 7.7 8 6 1 87.1 17.5
    Plays under pressure ----------------107 12 71 25 35.2 305 4.3 2 5 24 29.4 -10.4


    He's terrible under pressure.
    #9
  10. Carpy

    Carpy Disgruntled foreign veteran

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    Good point. I'll add a section listing some potential cuts.
    #10